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Global long steel market faces deepening uncertainty after US tariff hike

11 Jul 2025 15:35 reported by Stanley Wang

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The global long steel products market continues to face mounting instability, with no significant improvement in demand-supply dynamics. The Trump administration’s decision to raise US steel import tariffs to 50% has added further disruption, catching exporters off guard and increasing uncertainty. Exporters now hesitate to proceed, while buyers remain in wait-and-see mode amid ongoing discussions with countries like Mexico and Canada regarding possible exemptions.

Importers into the US are encountering serious difficulties, particularly for cargoes already in transit or arranged under letters of credit. Many face heavy financial losses or are forced to cancel shipments. Although prices in the U.S. are beginning to rise due to the new tariff, domestic demand remains moderate, and high interest rates continue to restrain investment and construction.

Outside the US, Chinese and Southeast Asian exports remain highly competitive. In Europe, competitive imports and high energy costs are pressuring regional mills. Scrap prices stay high, and production cuts may follow unless demand improves. Market participants anticipate possible interest rate cuts, but the short-term outlook remains weak and uncertain.

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